QUESTION: You were the first to say the US was going through Pakistan, and there was a 15-point plane. You also said no peace is possible. Iran just rejected Trump’s 15-point plan. You also commented that the markets were reflecting a protracted war. Do you see any hope whatsoever?
PD
ANSWER: Indeed, Iran said it rejected any US ceasefire proposal and maintained attacks on Israel and Gulf Arab states. They are in the driver’s seat, and they know it. Not just that they control the Strait of Hormuz, but aside from oil, 30% of the fertilizer goes through there, and as we move into planting season, Iran is also keenly aware that it can cause a food crisis.
Look, I know the Neocon thinking process. They CANNOT think beyond the end of their nose and ALWAYS think they will win in a matter of days or weeks, simply because they control the largest military force. SIZE does not matter! They NEVER look at the other side. Iran would have to be insane to accept the 15-point plan, dealing a significant blow to Trump’s efforts to end a war that Netanyahu began suckering in Trump.
Trump’s 15-point peace plan stipulates that the Islamic Republic dismantle its main nuclear facilities and use a reduced missile arsenal in self-defense only, according to reliable sources, and Trump would lift sanctions. Tehran realizes that it cannot agree to a ceasefire when Netanyahu has any authority whatsoever. Iran wants guarantees that the US and Israel won’t resume their attacks, alongside reparations for war damages and recognition of its authority over the Strait of Hormuz.
In addition, Iran has REFUSED to even negotiate with Steve Witkoff or Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, both of whom are Jewish! For the life of me, why this dynamic duo would even dare to negotiate in the Middle is beyond me. This appears to be a very serious conflict of interest, regardless of whether it is true. Iran has insisted that it would deal only with J.D. Vance.
I believe Vice President J.D. Vance may travel to Pakistan for talks with Iran this weekend. Trump has said he hopes to reach an agreement by the end of the week. I would not hold my breath. Just as Netanyahu assassinated the Ayatollah and acted unilaterally, attacking their gas field, he does not care about the world economy, and CANNOT be trusted in any future peace deal. The only security Iran could possibly have is regime change in Israel, meaning Netanyahu is gone from the government.
When Allies Become Liabilities – Regime Change in Israel
What is perhaps more surprising and not yet in the press is that Netanyahu’s problems have intensified under the Trump administration, which was expected to provide unconditional support for his Iranian conquest. Recent sources report a deep frustration within Trump’s team regarding Netanyahu.
The question of Benjamin Netanyahu’s political survival and whether there is serious discussion about regime change in Israel represents one of the most sensitive and complex dynamics in current Middle Eastern geopolitics being discussed behind the curtain. The short answer is that there has been significant talk—both public and private—about the need for Netanyahu to be removed from power, and this discussion is coming not just from his domestic opponents but from surprising quarters, including elements within the American establishment, European governments, and even segments of the Israeli security apparatus.
But we must be precise about what we mean by “regime change.” This is not talk of military intervention or external overthrow. Rather, it is a discussion about using diplomatic pressure, conditioning aid and support, leveraging legal processes, and supporting domestic opposition to facilitate Netanyahu’s removal through ostensibly democratic means. The distinction matters, but the intention—removing a sitting leader perceived as an obstacle to broader policy objectives—is fundamentally the same.
Without Netanyahu’s removal, it is going to be extremely hard to convince Iran that Israel will not attack again or try to assassinate all of their leaders in another covert action.