The New Jersey gubernatorial race is currently a dead heat, according to the latest Emerson poll.
Republican Jack Ciattarelli and Democratic Mikie Sherril are currently tied at 34 percent.
BREAKING
The New Jersey gubernatorial election is TIED!
Jack Ciattarelli: 43%
Mikie Sherrill: 43%I’m asking everyone across the country to focus your time, talent, & energy on New Jersey. pic.twitter.com/1pFd2GYOzh
— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) September 25, 2025
The poll’s results were explained by Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling:
The first Emerson College general election survey of New Jersey’s 2025 election for Governor reveals a tightly contested race in the Garden State. Young voters, under 40, break for Sherrill by large margins, 58% to 24%.
The race tightens to seven points among voters in their 40s, with Sherrill leading 47% to 40%, then Ciattarelli flips the script among voters over 50, leading Sherrill 52% to 36% among this group.
A stark gender divide also emerges among Garden State voters: women break for Sherrill by ten points, 46% to 36%, while men break for Ciattarelli by 12 points, 51% to 39%.
Notably, women are over twice as likely to be undecided at 15% compared to 6% of men.
Both President Trump and Governor Murphy are underwater among Jersey voters. Sherrill is trying to tie Ciattarelli to Trump, at the national level, and Ciattarelli is trying to tie Sherrill to Murphy and the cost of living at the state level.
Conservative activist Scott Presler is urging the Republican grassroots to try and push Ciattarelli over the line.
I am asking every conservative influencer in America to come to New Jersey.
You all have been blessed w/ huge platforms.
Please use your reach to bring attention to Jack Ciattarelli for governor this November.
(Tag your favorite X account below — give them love)
— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) September 25, 2025
During a debate between the two candidates Monday evening, Ciattarelli pointed out how his opponent had become far wealthier since entering politics, while in his case it has negatively affected his personal wealth.
Trump-endorsed Jack Ciattarelli is cooking Congresswoman Mikie Sherrill in the NJ Gubernatorial debate:
“In the 7 years that she’s been in Congress, she’s tripled her net worth… While you were sitting on the House Armed Services Committee, you were trading defense stocks.” pic.twitter.com/hMPwssPWTq
— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) September 22, 2025
Jack Ciattarelli previously ran in the 2021 gubernatorial election against incumbent Democrat Phil Murphy, losing by just over three percent.